Thursday, October 11, 2012

Did Gallup change its sampling under pressure from the Left? « Hot Air

Did Gallup change its sampling under pressure from the Left? « Hot Air: "Now, it’s entirely possible that Gallup sees the reverse trend and has adjusted its demographic weighting accordingly.  If so, they will have accurate predictions of the turnout and the vote in less than four weeks.  However, this kind of enthusiasm tsunami among non-white voters has been entirely missed by every other pollster in the business, none of whom have shown that Obama will turn out non-white voters at a rate that will make them five points larger in the 2012 election than in 2008.  And until someone shows data that predicts an 18.5% increase in the ratio of non-white:white voters in 2012 over 2008 (which is what a five-point uptick would be), the impression that this late methodology shift leaves is that Gallup has its thumb on the scales, regardless of their motive for doing so."

'via Blog this'

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