Friday, March 28, 2014

Harry Reid: Nate Silver 'bad most of the time' - POLITICO.com

Harry Reid: Nate Silver 'bad most of the time' - POLITICO.com: "Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid took a direct shot at Nate Silver on Friday, calling into question the political forecasters ability to acurately predict elections.

In an interview with The Washington Post's sports blog, Sen. Reid said Silver, the editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, had consistently been wrong when predicting the fate of Senate Democrats.

"He gave me a 16 percent chance of being reelected, he gave Heidi Heitkamp an 8 percent chance of being reelected, he gave Jon Tester a [34] percent chance of being reelected,” Reid said of Silver’s previous forecasts. “So all polls are about like Nate Silver’s predictions: good sometimes, bad most of the time."

Earlier this week, Silver declared that there was a 60-percent chance Democrats would lose the Senate to Republicans."



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